Here’s reaction from the two campaigns to the new independent poll that shows Congressman Walt Minnick with a 23.3-point lead over GOP challenger Raul Labrador:
“I think it’s another example of the support that Walt has and the support that continues to come,” said John Foster, Minnick’s campaign manager. “It’s also an example of the fact that the more people learn about Raul Labrador, the less inclined they are to support him. … This shows great momentum for Walt’s campaign.”
Labrador’s campaign spokeswoman, China Gum, said, “This poll is not consistent with polling that we’ve seen both internally and otherwise. We have major support on the ground and we continue to build momentum. As more and more voters learn how Minnick helps push the Obama/Pelosi agenda, they realize how out of touch he is with their values.”
The Labrador campaign also released a comment from its pollster, Bob Moore of Moore Information: “It is really hard to comment without knowing more about the poll. However, in our experience roughly 50% of Idaho voters are Republican or lean to Republicans. In this survey only 38% are Republicans. That could explain the better numbers for Minnick.”
The independent poll, conducted by nationally known GOP pollster and consultant Greg Strimple, showed that asked their party affiliation, 19 percent of the 400 Idaho respondents said Democrat, 36.8 percent said independent and 38.3 percent said Republican. By comparison, the most recent BSU Public Policy Survey, released in June 2008, showed 25 percent of respondents saying they were Democrats, 28 percent independent, 40 percent Republicans, 1 percent Libertarians, and 6 percent other, refused or don’t know. That year’s survey saw the percentage identifying as Republicans drop by 4 percentage points from the previous year.