At Adam's Blog, Adam Graham analyzes several races with open legislative seats, including retiring state Rep. George Sayler's Coeur d'Alene House seat, which he classifies as "Leans Republican": Looking at Idaho’s 4th District delegation reminds me of the old Sesame Street song, “One of things is not quite like the other…” Rep. Marge Chadderdon (Idaho Conservative Rating: 89%) and Senator John Goedde (Idaho Conservative Rating:83%)  came from the same district as Salyer (Idaho Conservative Rating: 14%). Given the conservative representation sent by this district in recent years, it may be possible that there won’t be a legislative Democratic elected next time between the Canadian Border and Moscow. More here.

Question: Does Adam have this one called right? Or is there more at play here that he doesn't see, including the baggage that controversial Repub Kathy Sims has -- and the community and family connections that Demo Paula Marano brings to the race?