I asked former 1st District Rep. Larry LaRocco how he reads the national election and his response was so thorough, I figured it would be of interest to readers. LaRocco said he trusts Nate Silver, the New York Times prognosticator who writes the FiveThirtyEight blog. Silver's latest forecast puts President Obama's likelihood of winning at 72.9 percent, with 294.6 electoral votes to Mitt Romney's 243.4. Now a lobbyist in Washington, D.C., LaRocco was elected in 1990, re-elected in 1992 and lost to Republican Helen Chenoweth in 1994. LaRocco lost to Republican Jim Risch for lieutenant governor in 2006 and the U.S. Senate in 2008/Dan Popkey, Idaho Statesman. More here.

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