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Matter of Opinion

Anti-incumbent fever!

Not so much in Washington state.

Not so much nationwide.

Sabato is still predicting that the GOP in the fall will pick up seven of the 59 Senate seats held by Democrats — not enough to take over control of that chamber. And he thinks Republicans will capture 32 House seats — they need 44 to take control of the House — and six governors' offices.

"On the whole," Sabato says, "the Tea Party has added energy to the Republicans, but they have also saddled the party with some less-than-ideal candidates."

"You’re going to see a sizable number of incumbents defeated in the fall," he predicts, "but well over 80 percent will be OK."

And that’s pretty much in line, he says, with trends over the past four decades.

Well, there's still the general election, but has the fever died down or was the thermometer off to begin with?

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Gary Crooks
Gary Crooks joined The Spokesman-Review in 1997. He is editor of the Opinion section and a member of the Editorial Board.

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