Spin Control

Gregoire terms: From a disputed win to recession-era budgets

OLYMPIA – Chris Gregoire, who became governor in the midst of controversy and managed the state during some of its worst economic adversity, said Monday she won’t seek a third term.
Instead, she said she’ll spend the next 18 months working to improve the economy, then take some time off.
“The worst thing that I can think of for the state of Washington is for me to be preoccupied with a campaign right now,” she said at a morning press conference in front of the Governor’s Mansion, where she was flanked by members of her family and had members of her cabinet and senior advisors gathered on the driveway nearby. “We are going to make sure we pull this state out of this recession.”
She said she wanted to leave “on my terms, in my time” and go on to do something else after taking “a little break” to spend time with her family...
 To read the rest of  Tuesday morning's story, go inside the blog

...She said she’ll campaign for President Barack Obama in 2012. “That doesn’t mean I’m looking for a job,” she added. Several times in the last two years she was reported to be on the short list for different jobs in the Obama administration.
Obama issued a statement late Monday morning praising Gregoire as someone who "helps build common-sense solutions to some of our nation's toughest problems."

OHer announcement – not a surprise but a confirmation of conventional wisdom – sets up the prospect of a race for governor next year between Republican Attorney General Rob McKenna and Democratic U.S. Rep. Jay Inslee of the Puget Sound’s 1st Congressional District.
McKenna, the GOP’s favorite choice to break a 28-year hold on the office by Democrats, formally announced his campaign last week. Inslee, who has been positioning himself to run if Gregoire didn’t, is expected to announce his campaign in the coming days.
Only one governor, Republican Dan Evans, has served more than two terms as Washington's chief executive.
Gregoire said she called Inslee Sunday after making her decision and urged him to run. “I don’t know who all’s going to get in the field,” she added.
Before becoming governor, she’d spent 12 years as the state’s attorney general, three years as head of the Department of Ecology, and time before that as a deputy attorney general.
Gregoire became governor in 2005 after the closest, and arguably the most controversial, statewide race in history. Former State Sen. Dino Rossi was ahead by 261 votes after the first ballot count, but Democrats demanded a machine recount which lowered Rossi’s margin to 42. They called for a hand-recount, which put Gregoire ahead by 129 votes. She was declared the winner and inaugurated. Republicans sued, but lost in a trial Chelan County Superior Court, and the margin actually grew to 133 votes. Rossi dropped the appeal. They had a rematch in 2008, and Gregoire won by nearly 200,000 votes.
Her first term was marked by an increase in state revenues from a booming construction market, and increases in state spending. That was starting to slide by 2008, and while Rossi was warning of an unsustainable budget and looming deficits, Gregoire was pointing to a Rainy Day Fund as a bulwark against a downturn.
The recession hit with a vengeance, and the last three legislative sessions were marked with wrenching cuts. Last year she supported a series of tax increases, some of which were overturned by voters in November.
Republicans said Gregoire will be remembered most for mishandling the recession. She allowed state spending and state employment to grow even when the recession “was known to be on the horizon,” said Alex Hays of the Mainstream Republicans, which has endorsed McKenna.
State GOP Chairman Kirby Wilbur said that while Gregoire can’t be blamed for a recession that was national in scope, she and Democrats who control the Legislature were responsible for state budgets “put together with bailing wire, spit and duct tape” rather than necessary cuts, and requiring a special session this year to write a budget, he said.
 That biennial budget for 2011-13, which Gregoire is scheduled to sign Wednesday, was a bipartisan effort crafted in part by Senate Republicans. “It’s not a total disaster. But it’s not what it could be,” Wilbur said.
But Democrats agreed that her tenure has been driven by difficult budget decisions, but argued that all states, and all governors, are struggling with the same problems. Blair Butterworth, a political advisor to Gregoire’s predecessor Gary Locke, said Republicans who claim they saw the recession clearly years ago were warning about deficits for so long it was the political equivalent of crying wolf.
“Nobody faced it soon enough. Nobody thought the downturn was going to be as bad,” Butterworth said. “By nature, elected officials want to see the good side of things…and we want them to represent the better side.”

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Jim Camden
Jim Camden is the Olympia bureau chief, covering the Legislature and state government. He also is a political columnist and blogger for Spin Control.

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