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Here’s a news item from the Associated Press: BOISE, Idaho (AP) — A State Tax Commission official says the agency will request $2.7 million in the upcoming Legislature to permanently take on workers who were hired on a temporary basis to collect unpaid taxes. Randy Tilley, administrator of the agency’s Audit and Collections Division, says the commission will request an additional $2.3 million to hire another 48 temporary workers next year. Earlier this month, Tilley said temporary workers had brought in more than $5.5 million at a cost of just $157,092 over a three-month period that began July 1. The collection goal for the temporary workers was $1.266 million. He presented the information to the Legislature’s joint budget writing committee on Monday. Lawmakers will likely use that information in deciding whether to dedicate funding to make all of this year’s temporary positions permanent and hire more temporary workers.
The Public Employee Retirement Fund of Idaho has gone from 78.9 percent funded in October of 2010 to 87.7 percent funded as of last Thursday, fund director Don Drum reported to lawmakers on the joint budget committee this morning. The system’s unfunded liability has dropped to $1.5 billion, less than half the figure from June 30, 2009 that alarmed some lawmakers during this year’s legislative session.
Bob Maynard, the fund’s investment director, noted that the fund was 105 percent funded back in 2007, before the recession hit. “Prospects for the future are reasonable, but very fragile,” he said. Maynard told JFAC, “We are still in a hole, but the hole is relatively much shallower” than those for other state retirement funds. Funds typically don’t want to be 100 percent funded because that means the current generation is paying too much; 90 to 95 percent is the ideal, Maynard said. “We have a pretty modest plan structure. We don’t have medical. We have a healthy employee contribution going into the system. … We have consistent employer contributions … a relatively modest level of benefits, there’s no frills, no attempt to use this for economic development in the state, a small mandatory COLA. … There’ve been no permanent benefit increases in good times, and always required a reserve.”
He added, “From day one, all benefit increases that have been put into the system have been fully funded from contribution rates, unlike other retirement systems.”
What that’s meant for Idaho’s state retirement system is that it needs to earn only 3.75 percent above inflation to meet statutory benefit requirements, whereas other systems need 5 percent or more. Thus, a simple, conservative investment approach can work, and that’s what’s happened.
Senate Finance Chairman Dean Cameron, R-Rupert, said he’d put state economist Derek Santos on the spot, as JFAC often did to newly retired state chief economist Mike Ferguson, while recognizing that there’s always risk in economic forecasting: He asked him what his level of confidence was that Idaho’s state tax revenues would actually grow by 3 to 4 percent in fiscal year 2011. The official state forecast calls for 4.7 percent growth.
Santos looked back to his boss, DFM chief Wayne Hammon, who gave him a nod and said, “It’s your neck.” Amid laughter, Santos said, “Recognizing this may be a career decision, I’m very comfortable with 3 to 4 percent. I would be very comfortable with 3 to 4 percent, and I’m still comfortable with 4.7 percent.”
Gov. Butch Otter’s Division of Financial Management is presenting its latest revenue figures to JFAC; in October, state tax revenues were up $8.8 million over projections, for a year-to-date total of $22.8 million ahead of projections. Both individual and corporate income taxes are running well ahead of projections. Overall for fiscal year 2011, DFM economist Derek Santos said the prediction is for $2.36995 billion in state tax revenues, an increase of 4.7 percent over fiscal year 2010.
Wayne Hammon, DFM chief, told JFAC members, “I believe the current forecast is accurate as a breakdown by month. … It’s not skewed.” However, the fact that revenues so far aren’t growing by the full 4.7 percent could be a sign of further forecast revisions ahead, Hammon said.
The state’s general fund tax revenue is forecast to grow 4.7
percent in 2012, but lawmakers are leery about the estimate; so far, it’s been
closer to 2.8 percent.
Also, under terms of the federal stimulus funding, if state
revenue increases beyond the 2011 appropriation unexpectedly, more than half of
that must be funneled back into school and higher ed funding, per federal
“maintenance of effort” requirements. That money can’t go into reserve funds or
capital projects. And the state already faces $27.3 million in supplemental
budget request for the current year, for everything from Medicaid costs to the
catastrophic health care program to enrollment growth at the
Here’s an interesting tidbit shared by Idaho Republican Party Chairman Norm Semanko on IPTV’s “Dialogue” program last night: Despite the GOP sweep in this year’s elections, Idaho is no longer the “most-Republican” state as measured by Republican dominance in its top offices and Legislature. Wyoming takes that prize. Wyoming, like Idaho, has its entire congressional delegation and all its statewide offices held by Republicans. The difference: While Idaho has now jumped up to 80 percent GOP in its state Legislature, Wyoming is at 84 percent.
Idaho’s state Republican and Democratic party chairmen - Norm Semanko and Keith Roark - will analyze the election results and take calls from viewers tonight on Idaho Public Television’s “Dialogue” with host Marcia Franklin; there’s more info here. The show airs live at 8:30 p.m. Mountain time, 7:30 Pacific; to join the conversation, you can email your questions in before the show to firstname.lastname@example.org, or call in live during the show, toll free, at (800) 973-9800.
Idaho elected its first Hispanic to represent the state in Congress on Tuesday, as Raul Labrador upset freshman Democratic Congressman Walt Minnick with a decisive 51 percent to 41.3 percent victory. Labrador, a conservative Republican state lawmaker and immigration attorney who charged during the race that Minnick’s attack ads against him had racial overtones, said he thought the “first” was significant because it sent a message to the nation about Idahoans.
“People have such a bad connotation of what Idaho represents,” Labrador said, “a bad place, a racist place. I can’t think of a better message for Idaho to send than to send a young man who was born in Puerto Rico, was raised in Las Vegas and was adopted by this state.” Tony Stewart, a founding board member of the Kootenai County Task Force on Human Relations, said the election result is one of a long string of firsts in Idaho’s history that belie the state’s image, which was tarnished by the presence in the 1990s of a small but violent group of white supremacists.
Idaho elected the nation’s first Jewish governor, Moses Alexander, in 1914, and the nation’s first Native American attorney general, Larry EchoHawk, in 1990. It’s also elected Native Americans to the state Legislature and at one time elected a high percentage of women to the Legislature compared to other states. “So there’s a track record there of looking at the merits of how people are seen as candidates, and they’re not basing it on race, but on the issues,” Stewart said. You can read my full story here at spokesman.com.
Victorious Republican candidates gathered on the Statehouse steps for a rally today, where Idaho GOP Chairman Norm Semanko declared, “Last night was the biggest victory in the history of Idaho Republican politics.” Newly elected 1st District GOP Congressman Raul Labrador said he can now remove the bright red “Fire Pelosi” pin he’s been wearing on his lapel for the last few weeks. “We have done the job and I can take it off, because the mission has been finished,” Labrador declared. Newly re-elected Gov. Bucth Otter said, “Our focus for the next four years … is to continue on exactly what we’ve started the last four years.”
U.S. Sen. Mike Crapo, who won a third term in the Senate, said, “I think the message from America, which is the same message that people here in Idaho were sending us, is that we need to get to work. … My hope is that we can now get down to work, to work across party lines, develop consensus-based, conservative, constitutional focused solutions to the issues facing our nation. We can do it, we will do it.”
All four constitutional amendments that were on the Idaho ballot passed, and passed fairly easily. SJR 101, allowing “tuition” at the University of Idaho (rather than just “fees”), passed with 64.1 percent of the vote. HJR 4, on hospital debt, got 63.5 percent; HJR 5 on airport debt, passed with 53.3 percent support, and HJR 7, for municipal electric system debts and power contracts, passed with 57 percent. All had received overwhelming support in the Idaho Legislature - that’s how they got on the ballot - though the Idaho Republican Party at its convention this year voted to oppose the three debt amendments.
All 11 constitutional amendments that have appeared on Idaho’s ballot since 1998 have won approval from Idaho voters, including complex measures dealing with endowment investment reform. Idaho voters tend to support them. This AP photo by Charlie Litchfield shows a scene from Idaho’s polls yesterday.
The Republican sweep that swept across Idaho yesterday did more than return the state to a 100 percent Republican congressional delegation to match its all-GOP slate of top statewide officials: It also added five seats to the Republican majority in the Idaho House. According to final, unofficial results, the five switches came as seven-term Rep. Mary Lou Shepherd, D-Prichard, lost to first-time GOP candidate Shannon McMillan in District 2; Republican Kathy Sims beat Democrat Paula Marano for the seat formerly held by Rep. George Sayler, D-Coeur d’Alene, in District 4; Rep. Liz Chavez, D-Lewiston, lost to Republican challenger Jeff Nesset in District 7; Republican Jim Guthrie won the District 29 seat formerly held by Rep. James Ruchti, D-Pocatello, defeating Democrat Greg Anderson; and, in the closest race in the state, former Rep. Julie Ellsworth, R-Boise, edged Democrat Janie Ward-Engelking by just nine votes in District 18, to win the seat formerly held by Rep. Branden Durst, D-Boise.
Durst lost his bid for the Idaho Senate seat formerly held by Sen. Kate Kelly, D-Boise, to Republican Mitch Toryanski by just 103 votes. But Democrat Dan Schmidt defeated Republican Gresham Dale Bouma to take the Senate seat formerly held by longtime Sen. Gary Schroeder, R-Moscow, whom Bouma defeated in the GOP primary; that leaves the Senate’s party balance where it was, with 28 Republicans and seven Democrats.
The Idaho House went from 52 Republicans and 18 Democrats to - if these election results hold - 57 Republicans and 13 Democrats. That drops the Dems from a quarter of the seats in the House to under a fifth. Overall, that means the Idaho Legislature goes from three-quarters GOP to four-fifths.
Outgoing Congressman Walt Minnick issued a statement early this morning, saying, “It now appears that Raul Labrador will be the victor when all the votes are finally tallied. Therefore, early this morning I placed a call to Raul and wished him every success as Idaho’s next Congressman. I, in particular, hope he can be successful in working with the Administration and his colleagues of both parties in the exceedingly important task ahead of putting our country back to work and of balancing our nation’s budget.”
Meanwhile, the victorious Labrador issued a statement saying, “Everywhere I campaigned throughout the district people wanted someone to bring sanity back to Washington DC. Whether it was a coffee shop in Nampa or a small business in Coeur d’Alene the message was the same; our government is out of control. I have always put the voters of Idaho first and I’m humbled by the support we received. They have placed their trust in me. I will hit the ground running in Washington to restore their faith in Congress and start working to create jobs.”
You can read Labrador’s full statement here, and click below to read Minnick’s full statement.
The Associated Press has called Idaho’s 1st District congressional race in favor of GOP challenger Raul Labrador. The latest figures from the Idaho Secretary of State’s office show that with 753 of 961 precincts reporting, Labrador had 50.2 percent to Minnick’s 42 percent, with independent Dave Olson garnering 5.9 percent and Libertarian Mike Washburn 1.9 percent.
Minnick’s campaign said on Twitter just now, “Congratulations to Raul Labrador on a hard-earned win, and best of luck as Idaho’s next Congressman.”
Idaho Gov. Butch Otter has claimed victory in his re-election bid, saying in a statement, “I give credit to my opponent, Mr. Allred, for running a very tough race. In the end, Idahoans spoke loudly that strong conservative leadership is what they wanted during these tough times.” You can read Otter’s full statement here. In this AP photo by Matt Cilley, Otter, joined by his mother, Regina Otter, delivers a thank-you message to supporters earlier tonight; he waited to claim victory until he heard from Allred.
Democratic candidate for governor Keith Allred has conceded to GOP Gov. Butch Otter in the governor’s race. “I believe more strongly than ever in the Founding Fathers’ wisdom that the best solutions are those that attract support across the lines that divide us,” Allred said in a statement. “It’s been my privilege to take that message to the people of Idaho.” Allred, who called Otter at 12:36 a.m. to concede, said, “I wish Governor Otter all the best as he works to guide our state through a difficult time.”
Meanwhile, GOP congressional hopeful Raul Labrador took the podium at Idaho GOP election night headquarters and said, “I want to go to bed. It’s too early to call it.” He thanked his supporters, and noted that he was outspent both in the primary race and in the general election contest. “I think they have shown what you can do with a little bit of money, a lot of energy and a lot of faith,” Labrador said.
With vote-counting delays in Kootenai, Ada and Canyon counties, the election results have been very slow to come in tonight, prompting several major candidates to hold off on either declaring victory or conceding - including Gov. Butch Otter and Democratic challenger Keith Allred. Here are the latest results from the Idaho Secretary of State’s office: With 543 of 961 precincts reporting, Otter has 60.5 percent to Allred’s 31.7 percent, while independent Jana Kemp has 5.7 percent, Libertarian Ted Dunlap has 1.2 percent and independent “Pro-Life” has 0.8 percent.
The AP has called three more Idaho races: Idaho Secretary of State Ben Ysursa, Lt. Gov. Brad Little, and state Superintendent of Public Instruction Tom Luna all have won re-election, the AP says. The most high-profile race among those three was Luna’s; he faced a challenge from Stan Olson, the just-retired superintendent of the Boise School District, the state’s second-largest district. With 227 of 961 precincts reporting, Luna’s lead was 62.7 percent to Olson’s 37.3 percent.
Freshman Democratic Congressman Walt Minnick, the only Democrat among Idaho’s congressional delegation, said tonight that he’s not surprised he’s in such a hard-fought re-election race. “It’s the most Republican district to have elected a Democratic challenger in a Democratic year,” he said of his election in 2008. “We’re now in a very Republican year. In that circumstance … I think it was a given that it was going to have a lot of attention.” He said that was regardless of who the GOP nominee was against him.
Minnick said with a “Republican wave” out there, “more and more people have been asking, why shouldn’t it affect Idaho?” Plus, he said, it’s a time when “emotions are high and there is a great deal of disaffection,” given the nation’s economic straits and their impact on people. “Will people look beyond party label to the policies and background of the candidates as individuals? That’s the issue,” he said. “I’m of course hopeful that they will. We’ll have to see how it turns out. I expect it to be very close.
The early numbers looked very good for GOP congressional hopeful Raul Labrador - with 124 of 961 precincts reporting, Labrador had 50.7 percent of the vote to incumbent Congressman Walt Minnick’s 42.6 percent, with independent Dave Olson trailing at 5.2 percent and Libertarian Mike Washburn at 1.4 percent. Labrador said he’s not surprised the race is so competitive - even though he was underfunded and running against an incumbent congressman. “I think people this year, more than ever, were looking at the message and not at the money spent,” Labrador said. “When they saw the ads, they wanted to find out for themselves if those things were true.” He speculated that Minnick’s ads drove voters to Labrador’s website to check him out.
He also noted that while his name recognition at the start of the campaign was very low statewide, by the end it was up to 90 percent - a change he attributes to Minnick’s negative ads against him. “I want to thank him,” Labrador said with a grin. He added of the race, “It’s too early to call.”
The Associated Press has called several of Idaho’s top races - it’s declared Sen. Mike Crapo a winner, winning a third term in the U.S. Senate; along with 2nd District Rep. Mike Simpson, winning another term in the House; and the AP has declared Gov. Butch Otter the winner in his bid for second term - though only a small fraction of Idaho’s votes have been counted. The AP’s projection was based on exit polls along with the earliest results.
Democratic candidate for governor Keith Allred, shown here greeting supporters at the Idaho Democratic Party’s campaign headquarters at the Owyhee Plaza Hotel in Boise, said of his first run for office, “It’s been exciting and a lot more fun than I thought.”