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January 3, 2010 in Business
Global growth may boost stocks in 2010
NEW YORK – Companies with international operations are set to take advantage of a global economic recovery this year, continuing the rally that began in 2009.
As the new decade begins, industrial and material companies could be set for the biggest yearly gains as the world’s emerging markets rapidly build infrastructure. Companies that sell consumer staples worldwide should also benefit from growth.
“Industrials will continue to perform, largely because of international operations,” said Michael Farr, CEO of Farr, Miller & Washington and manager of the Touchstone Capital Appreciation Fund. Growth in countries such as China and India will push demand higher for manufactured goods, he said.
Such demand helped markets in 2009. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index is poised to end the year with a 24 percent gain, its strongest performance since 2003. Each of the index’s 10 broad sectors logged increases with four of them – energy, materials, consumer discretionary and information technology – each up more than 50 percent.
As for 2010, industrial stocks also should be helped as the U.S. government continues spending at record levels on building projects to stimulate the economy, analysts say.
And as consumption overseas picks up, Standard & Poor’s equity strategist Alec Young said material companies will benefit from demand for raw goods. A weakening dollar and rising commodities prices, which helped fuel the stock market’s 2009 rally, should continue into the new year boosting prices even more, Young said.
However, Young said investors should not dive into the sectors betting material or industrial stocks will rise solely because the dollar is weakening. A weak dollar increases demand for exports and makes commodities more attractive to foreign investors, but companies still need to show sales growth: “Consider currency as icing on the cake.”
Materials stocks, as measured by the S&P 500 index, are on track to show a 54 percent gain for 2009, according to Factset, while industrial stocks should end the year up about 25 percent.
International growth is also expected to benefit companies like Colgate-Palmolive Co. and PepsiCo Inc. that make consumer staples companies, and sell them in emerging markets, Farr said. Consumer staples shares are on track to rise about 25 percent in 2009.
While strength overseas may boost stocks, the prospects for growth in the U.S. may depend on consumers opening their wallets. A recovery in consumer spending – the primary driver of the economy – will be necessary for the country to rebound from the worst downturn since the Great Depression. With the economy on the upswing, companies that sell discretionary goods and services, like restaurant and entertainment companies, are bound to see improved sales, analysts say.
© Copyright 2010 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
Northwest wheat 
liarsinnews on January 03 at 7:21 a.m.
With the “economy on the upswing”? What is the AP writer Bernard smoking? Seems to me, Stephen Bernard is also inhaling. Unemployment continues to increase at an alarming rate. I guess he believes, President Obama`s spin.