Limits are far below private creditors’ demands
BRUSSELS — Eurozone finance ministers early Tuesday set the stage for further tough negotiations with private bondholders over how to cut Greece’s massive debt pile, by setting a low limit on the interest rate the country will pay on new lower-valued bonds.
The interest rate is the key remaining variable in a complicated debt swap designed to slice some $129 billion off Greece’s massive debt pile and bring it down to 120 percent of gross domestic product by 2020.
The eurozone believes a debt level of 120 percent of GDP is the maximum Greece can handle over the long term. Without a restructuring, the country’s debts would hit close to 200 percent of GDP by the end of this year.
After 10 hours of talks, Jean-Claude Juncker, the prime minister of Luxembourg who also chairs the meetings of eurozone finance ministers, said the interest rate on the swapped Greek bonds will have to average “clearly below 4 percent” over the lifetime of the bonds.
Those caps are far below interest rates demanded by Greece’s private creditors, who already have to give up on 50 percent of the face value of their investments and are expected to give the country between 20 or 30 years to repay them.
By setting the low interest-rate caps, the ministers made clear that they are not willing to increase their rescue loans to Athens beyond the $168 billion tentatively agreed upon in October. But their tough position will also test the willingness of private creditors to voluntarily agree to the Greek debt relief.
The alternative would be for the eurozone to force losses on the private bondholders — a move it has been reluctant to make.
The eurozone’s handling of Greece’s troubles is being closely watched by investors around the world, even though the country is one of the currency union’s smallest members. Analysts fear that forcing Greece into a default could spell more panic on financial markets and hurt big countries like Italy, Spain or France.
Greece, the eurozone and the private bondholders don’t have much time left to sort out their differences. On March 20, Athens has to repay $19 billion in expiring bonds — money it does not have. If the bond swap is successful, that amount would not only be cut in half, but the repayment deadline would be pushed far into the future.
A Greek government official said Monday night that his country wants to present a final offer to its bondholders by Feb. 13, since it will take several weeks to find out how many of them are willing to participate voluntarily. Prime Minister Lucas Papademos has said he is open to forcing losses on holdouts if a majority of bondholders agree to a restructuring.
But the low caps on the interest rate will make it more difficult to get a large number of private creditors to sign up to the final deal.