Consumer confidence index hits 5-year high

WASHINGTON – Despite dark clouds in the global and U.S. economies, American consumers are feeling more upbeat than they have at any time since fall 2007.

That is according to an unexpectedly strong reading of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan and Thomson Reuters, released Friday. The report suggests that the holiday shopping season could turn out stronger than forecast.

The widely followed index jumped to 83.1 in October – nearly a five-point gain from the previous month and the highest since September 2007.

Measures of both components of the index – people’s assessment of their current financial conditions and future expectations – went up over the month. Sentiment improved for families making more than $75,000, as well as those making less.

Most analysts had forecast a slight drop in consumer confidence this month, given persistent sluggish growth at home and increasing worries about a global slowdown.

Last Friday, the Labor Department reported that the unemployment rate fell to a 3  1/2-year low of 7.8 percent in September, and on Thursday officials said new jobless claims last week fell to their lowest level since February 2008.

Although many are skeptical about the big drops in jobless rate and weekly claims, the latest consumer-confidence measure may reflect a pick-up in job growth from spring, more signs of a recovering housing market, and somewhat calmer headlines coming out of the eurozone.

“On the whole, this is a very encouraging report, especially given that the gains were spread out across components of the index, income groups and geographies,” economists at Barclays Bank wrote after the consumer survey’s release.