Models don’t support theory

A great deal of information is available regarding the Earth’s atmosphere and the climate thereof. Much of it is correct, and some is not, because our understanding of the complex thermodynamic, aerodynamic and other processes interacting continually within that gaseous envelope is far from complete.

Scientists and mathematicians have tried their best to devise mathematical models that would help explain and enable prediction of all manner of natural phenomena. Those most knowledgeable about these efforts are the least likely to assert unshakeable certainty about the results achieved.

Atmospheric temperature estimates obtained using 73 climate models – yes, 73. Evidently modelers do not give up readily. They have been graphically plotted and compared with the temperatures actually measured using four radiosonde devices and two satellites. The model-derived estimates, while varying widely from each other, showed on average a continually steeply rising atmospheric temperature. The measured temperatures obtained from the two types of sensing instruments are in close agreement and show virtually no increase in temperature over the past two decades.

Readers of a scientific bent may view graphs depicting the results of these comparisons online, along with prose discussion and interpretations, at www.friendsofscience.org and www.thegwpf.org/epic-fail-73-climate –models-vs-observations.

Leonard Johnson

Moscow