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Spokane, Washington  Est. May 19, 1883

Spin Control

1 state, 2 state. Red state, blue state

Hillary Clinton has about as much chance of winning Idaho as Donald Trump has of winning Washington, the political site FiveThirtyEight says.

This is not just loose talk from the number's crunching website. There are numbers to back it up. 

It estimates that Washington is so blue that Clinton currently has a 96.1 percent of winning its 12 Electoral College votes. Idaho is so red that Trump has a 96.6 percent of winning those four electoral votes.

The website suggests Libertarian Gary Johnson might get nearly 10 percent of the vote right now. That comes out of Trump's total and Clinton is above 50 percent in its collection of state polls over the summer.

In Idaho, it's reversed. Johnson is close to 8 percent, but with Trump above 50 percent, those votes are basically coming from Clinton.

The website also has a map of the country with each state represented by its Electoral College votes, not its geographic area. So Idaho, Montana and Wyoming are significantly smaller and California, New York and Florida are oversized.

Jim Camden
Jim Camden joined The Spokesman-Review in 1981 and retired in 2021. He is currently the political and state government correspondent covering Washington state.

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