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The Spokesman-Review Newspaper
Spokane, Washington  Est. May 19, 1883

What’s driving Ford earnings? Not cars



 (The Spokesman-Review)
Universal Press Syndicate

Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) recently reported second-quarter earnings results that topped Wall Street’s expectations, but most of its profits came not from its core business of making and selling cars, but from making loans. Ford Credit, the company’s financing operation, contributed 95 percent of pretax operating profits of $1.6 billion. To compare, General Motors’ financing unit, GMAC, contributed 62 percent of total profits.

Ford’s total profits were a mere $83 million. In North America, profits were up only 2 percent year-over-year, despite a strengthening economy. Unit sales, market share and revenues were all down. Making matters worse, many car dealerships are holding high levels of inventory, putting pressure on prices.

Results in Europe were stronger than last year, but business for some of the company’s recently acquired brands, such as Volvo and Jaguar, was down significantly worldwide.

With Ford’s core business not performing, investors should question the sustainability of earnings. Higher interest rates will put pressure on financing profits. In addition, much of the improvement in financing was due to better credit loss performance – for example, repossessions were down to 2.7 percent from 3.2 percent in the previous quarter. If the consumer segment of the economy were to slow down, credit loss performance would likely deteriorate, and the impact on overall company profits could be ugly.

We’re waiting for Ford to turn around the decline in its core automotive business.

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