OLYMPIA – Incumbent Democratic Gov. Jay Inslee is capturing more than 50 percent of voter support and Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has a 17-point lead over Republican Donald Trump in Washington, according to a new poll released Monday.
The latest survey by independent pollster Stuart Elway shows Clinton’s lead in the state shrank slightly from the last poll, done in August, when she had a 19-point lead. As Clinton led Trump 48 percent to 31 percent in the October poll, Libertarian Gary Johnson had 6 percent of the vote and Green Party candidate Jill Stein garnered just 1 percent. Ten percent of Washington voters said they were undecided, and 4 percent said they may not vote for president at all, down from Elway’s August survey, when 16 percent were undecided and 6 percent said they may not vote.
Washington hasn’t voted for a Republican candidate for president since 1984.
Elway’s survey found that more Democrats have rallied around Clinton than Republicans have around Trump, with 89 percent of Democrats saying they will vote for Clinton, while just 77 percent of Republicans said they planned to vote for Trump. Thirty-two percent of independents said they would vote for Trump, while 31 percent said they would vote for Clinton.
He also found that 45 percent of Clinton supporters wanted to “put her in the White House,” 27 percent said they were voting for her to make sure Trump didn’t win, and 26 percent said those were equally motivating factors. Among Trump supporters, just 29 percent said they were voting to elect him, while 42 percent of Trump supporters said their vote was intended to keep Clinton out of the White House. Twenty-eight percent of Trump supports said they were equally motivated by both factors.
“All of these findings suggest a Democratic Party more unified than their Republican counterparts heading into the last two weeks of the campaign,” Elway wrote.
In the state’s gubernatorial race, Inslee led his Republican challenger, Bill Bryant, 51 percent to 39 percent, with 10 percent of those surveyed undecided. In the race for U.S. Senate, incumbent Democratic Sen. Patty Murray was leading Republican challenger Chris Vance 58 percent to 34 percent among voters surveyed, with 8 percent undecided.
Additional down-ballot statewide elected offices saw Democrats in the lead on a few of them, but Elway wrote that all of the races “are up for grabs” due to undecided voters and races being within the margin of error.
The Elway survey of 502 registered voters was conducted by phone Oct. 20-22. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
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