U.S. downplays talk of Iraq withdrawal, says troops will stay in Syria
U.S. officials on Friday said they have agreed to a two-stage shift in the American military presence in Iraq that will allow for continued operations against Islamic State militants in Syria, but pointedly disputed Baghdad’s earlier assertions that a near-total withdrawal is underway.
The announcement, coming two weeks after the Iraqi government said it had reached a deal with the Biden administration to remove most U.S. troops over the next two years, underscored Washington’s hesitancy to telegraph its military movements at a time of extreme volatility in the Middle East. But it also sowed confusion over the eventual end state of the Pentagon presence in the country.
There are 2,500 American personnel in Iraq now. Iraqi officials have said that once the drawdown is complete, a small residual force would remain in northern Iraq to act as a bulwark against the Iranian-backed militia groups that hold wide sway in the rest of the country. Speaking to reporters Friday, officials from the State Department and Defense Department declined to confirm those plans, alluding instead to the U.S. government’s desire for a “sustainable security partnership” with the Iraqis.
“I’d like to emphasize that this is an evolution of the military mission in Iraq,” a senior Biden administration official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity under ground rules set by the State Department. “We’re moving towards the type of productive, long-term security relationship the United States has with partners around the world.”
The official told reporters there “could very well be” changes in the number of U.S. troops in Iraq but declined to elaborate. U.S. and Iraqi discussions are ongoing, the official said.
A Pentagon spokeswoman, Sabrina Singh, said during a separate briefing Friday “it’s fair to say” that “our footprint is going to be changing within the country.” She, too, declined to provide additional details.
U.S. officials did affirm that the first phase of this “evolution” will end the current military mission in Iraq by September 2025. Baghdad and Washington also have “reached an understanding” in which the roughly 900 U.S. forces deployed to neighboring Syria will continue to receive support from the Iraqi side of the border through at least September 2026, the senior administration official said.
The Iraqi government did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the U.S. government’s characterization of the agreement.
The announcement’s ambiguity suggests Washington hopes to preserve some wiggle room in its talks with Baghdad. It also highlights how painstakingly sensitive the negotiations have been, for both sides. The American presence in Iraq is deeply unpopular, and the government of Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani has been eager to demonstrate he can end or at least curtail it.
Since the eruption of renewed conflict between Israel and Hamas militants in the Gaza Strip a year ago, U.S. positions in Iraq, Syria and Jordan have come under extensive attacks by Iranian-backed militias.
Three U.S. troops were killed by a one-way attack drone in January at a U.S. base in Jordan supporting operations in Syria. American forces have conducted periodic airstrikes in response, most recently in July near Baghdad, drawing intense blowback from the Iraqi public.
American troops also continue to conduct periodic operations against remaining Islamic State militants. Last month, seven U.S. troops were wounded doing so in western Iraq.
The counter-ISIS mission, now a decade old, remains a priority, officials say. The Obama administration, which had removed all U.S. troops from Iraq in 2011, launched a comprehensive air war against the militants over the next few years and deployed thousands of U.S. forces on the ground to assist Iraqi forces as they took back territory.
Kurdish forces in neighboring Syria maintain the detention centers housing thousands of captured militants and are occasionally targeted by the group’s remnants. The Syrian government has tolerated the U.S. presence in the east, but the two nations do not have official relations.
Both countries continue to face threats from the Islamic State, a reality highlighted by the joint raid in August that killed at least 14 militants. U.S. military officials said then that the ISIS fighters were heavily armed and seemingly prepared for a fight.
A senior defense official, speaking on the call with reporters Friday, said the United States retains its right to self-defense and has demonstrated that “we will not hesitate to take all appropriate action to protect our personnel.” Those principles will continue to apply, the official said, as this shift in mission occurs.
Bradley Bowman, a national security analyst with the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, criticized the Biden administration for what he characterized as its “notably murky” messaging. Regardless of how many U.S. troops are left in Iraq, he said, Iran is likely to view it as too many.
Tehran wants the United States out of the region as it seeks to turn Iraq into a “puppet state” like Lebanon, Bowman said. That could open the door to Shiites aligned with Iran marginalizing the country’s Sunni Muslims and the Sunnis potentially radicalizing as a result, he speculated.
“This feels a bit like deja vu all over again,” Bowman said. “This has the feel of a timeline-based, conditions-ignoring withdrawal. That’s exactly what we did in 2011, and we saw how that ended up. We had to return in 2014 at a greater cost.”
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Missy Ryan contributed to this report.