Oscar watch: Fandango keeps track

No matter how many awards shows take place before the Academy Awards , there are no Oscar guarantees. The Motion Picture Academy is notoriously predictable/unpredictable at the same time. And this year, with no odds-on favorites to choose from, it’s any film’s race.

“Avatar”? Oh, please. I love the thing, but an Oscar? For what? Thrilling me with its CGI, for sure. But the story? Look, I think Oscars should go to story lines that offer just a bit more than the Nickelodeon channel. And has anyone even talked about the film’s obvious open ending, which bellows — not just screams — sequel?

Tell that to the Hollywood Foreign Press Association , which chose “Avatar” over “The Hurt Locker” as Best Motion Picture, Drama, in its annual awards show Sunday night. That’s opposed, of course, to “The Hangover,” which won for Best Motion Picture, Comedy or Musical (I was sure they’d go for “Nine,” if only because of the film’s tie to Fellini).

“Avatar” winning over “Hurt Locker” contradicts what the Broadcast Film Critic Association did on Friday, which opted for the Iraq War study. And “Avatar” director James Cameron won over “Hurt Locker” director Kathryn Bigelow, one of Cameron’s ex-wives — exactly the opposite of what the BFCA did.

What does all this have to do with the Oscars? Probably nothing. But if you want to keep track of the various awards shows, check out what Fandango is doing. Can’t hurt, especially when it comes to your annual office Oscar pool.

Below : The incomparable Ricky Gervais hosting the Golden Globes.