Consumer data fails to hold back stocks
NEW YORK — Wall Street ended an erratic quarter with a modest advance Friday as falling oil prices helped ease concerns about a weakening consumer environment in the wake of hurricanes Katrina and Rita. The major indexes finished both the week and the quarter with sturdy gains.
Stocks fluctuated throughout Friday’s session following news that personal income and spending declined last month, and that consumer confidence plunged from August. The numbers – mostly reflecting the month before the storms ravaged the Gulf Coast – largely missed expectations and raised fears about further decreases this winter amid record energy prices.
The market was helped by the fact that crude oil eased as traders took profits following this week’s runup, but worries persisted about supply shortages this winter in the aftermath of the hurricanes. A barrel of light crude dropped 55 cents to $66.24 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
At the close of trading, the Dow Jones industrial average gained 15.92, or 0.15 percent, to 10,568.70, after spending most of the session in negative territory.
The broader stock indicators also moved higher. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index was up 1.13, or 0.09 percent, at 1,228.81, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 10.47, or 0.49 percent, to 2,151.49.
Bonds continued their slide, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note climbing to 4.33 percent from 4.29 percent on Thursday. The U.S. dollar was mixed against other major currencies in European trading, while gold prices edged lower.
With the third quarter drawing to a close Friday, investors acted tentatively as they prepared for the upcoming earnings season, which could indicate where the economy is headed as confidence weakens from rising gas prices and interest rates. Nonetheless, Ed Keon, chief investment strategist at Prudential Equity Group, said he remains optimistic despite a spate of profit warnings over the past month.
“The earnings pattern for the rest of this year and next year has actually strengthened a bit, as energy has gone up,” Keon said. “Earnings are going to be a nice support for the market over the next few weeks.”
Wall Street began the quarter optimistic that the nation could weather higher energy prices, and the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rallied to four-year highs in early August. But the mood soured this month as back-to-back hurricanes tormented key Gulf Coast petroleum refineries, sending oil above $70 a barrel and retail gas well past $3 a gallon. Traders grew fearful of a slowdown in consumer spending, particularly ahead of the critical holiday shopping season.
The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index echoed those concerns, with the September reading sliding to 76.9 from 89.1 in August. That also confirmed a drop in confidence reported earlier this week by the Conference Board.