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Obama’s edge on economy dwindling

Wed., Oct. 29, 2008

Weekly poll shows thinner lead on several issues

WASHINGTON – “Joe the Plumber” may be paying off for Sen. John McCain.

The Arizona senator scored sharp gains on the pivotal issue of jobs and the economy in the past week, helping him gain a bit on front-runner Sen. Barack Obama and narrow the presidential race as it heads into the final week, according to an Ipsos-McClatchy Poll released Tuesday.

The poll found Obama’s margin over McCain on who’s stronger on jobs and the economy – by far the top issue in the country – down from 16 points to 7 points in one week.

The Illinois senator’s loss of ground on that benchmark question came as McCain hammered him repeatedly as someone who would give taxpayers’ money to the poor and pay for it by raising taxes on small businesses, much like the plumbing business in Ohio that “Joe the Plumber” Wurzelbacher said he wanted to buy someday.

Overall, the poll found:

•Obama, the Democrat, supported by 48 percent of likely voters.

•McCain, the Republican, supported by 42 percent.

•Ralph Nader, an independent, supported by 1 percent.

•Bob Barr, the Libertarian candidate, supported by 1 percent.

•The remaining 8 percent undecided or supporting other candidates.

Obama’s 6-point lead in the Ipsos-McClatchy Poll is down from 8 points the week before. The survey of 831 likely voters, taken Thursday through Monday, has an error margin of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

When matched head to head without other candidates, Obama leads McCain by 5 points, down from 9 the week before.

Several other national polls also find the race tightening slightly, including Gallup and Zogby. Independent pollster John Zogby, for example, found Obama’s lead Tuesday narrowing to 5.7 percentage points from as high as 11.9 points last week. Obama leads by an average of 7 points in 10 polls over the last week, according to

Obama still leads in the Ipsos-McClatchy Poll among most demographic groups and on most issues. But he has lost ground on several:

•On jobs and the economy, voters prefer Obama by 50-43 percent. The week before, they preferred him by 54-38.

•On taxes, they prefer Obama by 48-43 percent, a drop of 3 points in a week.

•On health care, likely voters trust Obama over McCain by 53-37 percent. That 16-point advantage was down from 24 points the week before.

•Obama also lost a little standing on family values, the traditionally Republican issue where he has the edge, 47-42 percent. The week before, he led on family values by 48-40 percent.

McCain has the advantage on foreign policy, favored over Obama by a margin of 9 percentage points, and on national security by a margin of 12 points.

The economy and jobs remain the top issue for voters as they search for a president, listed as the top priority by 42 percent of likely voters. The distant second was national security, which 17 percent ranked as the top issue.


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