November job numbers disappointing
Private sector hiring slowest since January
WASHINGTON – The nation added only a trickle of jobs in November, far fewer than experts had expected and a reminder that the economy is still recovering only fitfully.
The job market was weak all around: Stores, factories, construction companies and financial firms all cut positions. The unemployment rate nudged closer to double digits again – 9.8 percent, after three straight months at 9.6 percent.
Employers added 39,000 jobs for the month, the Labor Department said Friday. They added 172,000 in October – enough to quality as a hiring spurt in this anemic post-recession economy.
“Just when it was safe to believe the labor market was firming and job growth was coming back, we were reminded that this recovery is proceeding with fits and starts,” said Joel Naroff, president of Naroff Economic Advisors.
The report caught economists off guard. They had predicted 150,000 new jobs, based on a raft of recent positive reports that showed busier factories, rising auto sales and a healthy start to the holiday shopping season.
The stock market seemed to take the bad news in stride. The Dow Jones industrial average closed up about 20 points at 11,382, not far from its post-recession high.
The November jobs report may prove to be just a temporary setback because economic recoveries are often bumpy. But for now, hiring is so weak that the economy isn’t creating even enough jobs to keep up with the growth in the work force.
“It will be a long haul back to normalcy,” said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics.
The rate, now at a seven-month high, has exceeded 9 percent for 19 straight months, the longest stretch on record.
“Employers are still cautious about hiring and are testing waters before taking on full-time employees,” said Sung Won Sohn, economist at California State University, Channel Islands.
The jobs picture may actually be brighter than the report suggested because it was more difficult than usual for the government to come up with the November figure. That’s because the previous two Novembers were volatile, and the government uses previous years to make seasonal adjustments in the figures.
Private companies, the backbone of the economy, created only 50,000 jobs for the month. That was down from 160,000 in October and the fewest since January. Private sector hiring has at least grown for 11 straight months.
Yet companies are still not prepared to hire in great numbers. They have the cash to do it – corporations had amassed $1.84 trillion of it as of June 30, a record – but are not yet satisfied that customer demand is really back.