Oil price drop eases inflation fears
NEW YORK – Wall Street rallied Monday as oil prices fell back and alleviated some of investors’ concerns about accelerating inflation. The Dow Jones industrials gained 130 points.
Oil’s retreat helped soothe some of Wall Street’s worries about inflation’s impact on consumer spending. Crude briefly reached a new trading high of $126.40, but investors seemed shy, for the time being at least, to add to oil’s huge gain of nearly $10 last week. Light, sweet crude oil fell $1.73 to settle at $124.23 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
“This market does seem to be reacting positively to any sort of easing we see in the energy patch,” said Craig Peckham, market strategist at Jefferies & Co.
Investors also got some encouraging news about the credit crisis from London-based HSBC Holdings PLC, which said its first-quarter profits were up from a year ago although the global banking company took a $3.2 billion write-down on subprime mortgage assets in the United States. The company did echo other assessments that the U.S. was likely to fall into recession this year.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon said at a conference Monday he estimates the credit market crisis is 75 percent over, but that the recession is just beginning.
Monday’s gains showed investors are still willing to lay some bets, although some market watchers said Wall Street will still likely see stocks fluctuate as investors try to determine the economy’s direction. Monday’s advance follows a week in which the major indexes fell as worries about inflation weighed on investors.
Peckham said some of the buying was a natural move after last week’s decline, in which the Dow lost 2.4 percent and the S&P 500 declined 1.81 percent.
“This market, after having had a pretty rough last week, is prone to drawing in some more value-seekers,” he said.
The Dow rose 130.43, or 1.02 percent, to 12,876.31.
Broader stock indicators also rose. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index advanced 15.30, or 1.10 percent, to 1,403.58, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 42.97, or 1.76 percent, to 2,488.49.
Bond prices dipped. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 3.80 percent from 3.78 percent late Friday. After an early strong start, the dollar ended mixed against most other major currencies, while gold prices fell.
The flow of first-quarter earnings reports is beginning to dwindle, so Wall Street will likely require some big news on the economy – such as a sharp reversal in commodities prices – to dislodge the markets from their current position, said Ted Oberhaus, director of equity trading at Lord, Abbett & Co.