You might not want to bet the rent on it, but New York statistical whiz Nate Silver is predicting Idaho may legalize gay marriage as early as 2011 ... Silver, who parlayed his knowledge of statistics into a career predicting sports teams' performance, recently branched out into political prognostication on his Web site, FiveThirtyEight.com ... He told NewWest, a Missoula, Mont.-based online magazine, that he looked at a series of political and demographic variables in Idaho and attempted to forecast the percentage of the vote a marriage ban would receive ... "Marriage bans, however, are losing ground at a rate of slightly less than 2 points per year," he hold NewWest ... "/Steve Crump, Twin Falls Times-News. More here.

Question: Crump concluded his column by asking: "Has he (Silver) been to Idaho?" Do you think Idaho will legalize gay marriage as early as 2011. If not, when?